Edward Snowden,Aam Ras (2024) Hindi Short Film like many Americans, wishes he hadn't put so much faith in pre-election polls.
Snowden showed himself to be a believer in The New York Timeson Oct. 21, when the Paper of Record had Hillary Clinton's odds of winning the White House at 93%.
SEE ALSO: Edward Snowden warned us about a president like Donald TrumpFeeling confident the U.S. wasn't about to elect Clinton's rival Donald Trump, he told his American followers now was as good a time as ever to vote third party.
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A week after Trump's victory, Snowden was doing some reflection.
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Snowden, of course, was just going along with what experts were telling the world. TheTimeshad favored Clinton all campaign season until halfway through Election Night. Data journalism hub 538gave Clinton a 71% chance as Election Day began. The Princeton Election Consortium put her chances at nearly 100%.
Pollsters will likely spend the next weeks and months figuring out where they went wrong. Many of them weren't as off as they initially appeared, at least according to...538, and there is already a good amount of evidence to suggest pollsters missed Trump's huge support among "whites without college degrees." And though many national polls may wind up having done a decent job predicting the popular vote (which Clinton is likely to win), they were off enough with respect to certain states that their Electoral College predictions seem to have been totally misguided.
Maybe it's more fair to say that political science, like any brand of science, is simply evolving to figure out how the world truly works.
Topics X/Twitter Donald Trump Elections Hillary Clinton
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